‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ Eyeing Record-Breaking $200M-$239M Opening, Set to Surpass Original ‘Deadpool’

“Deadpool & Wolverine” is one of the most important movies coming out this summer. It’s the first time Deadpool is in the MCU, and the studio hopes to fix some issues they’ve had in recent years.

A recent list of 2023 box office failures put Disney at the top. It was the first time in a long while that the company didn’t have a billion-dollar movie. “The Marvels” was a huge flop, causing big losses for the company.

The first sign that “Deadpool & Wolverine” would do well at the box office was the presale of tickets, which broke several records. Early box-office projections now suggest that “Deadpool & Wolverine” will set a new record for the biggest R-rated opening, beating the first “Deadpool” movie.

According to Deadline, the movie has a six-week tracking projection of $200M-$239M, which is considered conservative. No R-rated movie has ever opened to $200M, with the current record held by the original “Deadpool” at $132.4M. Even a $150M opening for “Deadpool & Wolverine” would surpass the previous records of both Ryan Reynolds and Hugh Jackman, and could become the highest opening of the summer, ahead of Disney/Pixar’s “Inside Out 2,” which is expected to make $120M-$130M.

The movie has the highest Premium Large Format (PLF) score at 28% for the summer, showing strong audience interest in premium formats. Tracking numbers for men are higher than those for “Spider-Man: No Way Home” at the same point before its release; that movie had the second-highest domestic opening ever at $260.1M. Projections for “Deadpool & Wolverine” could go up even more.

This could be Disney’s first billion-dollar movie in a while. Have something to add? Let us know in the comments below!