Disney Could Potentially Have the Top-Grossing Movie of 2024 with ‘Deadpool & Wolverine,’ Based on Current Projections

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‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ stands as one of the most significant movie releases this summer, marking Deadpool’s debut in the MCU and Disney’s effort to address recent production challenges.

Recently, a list of 2023 box office disappointments ranked Disney at the top, marking the first year in a while without a billion-dollar movie. ‘The Marvels’ proved particularly disastrous, resulting in staggering losses for the company.

‘The Marvels’ also led Marvel Studios to scale back its creative output. ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ was announced as the sole MCU movie for 2024, with plans to release 2-3 movies per year and possibly 2 live-action TV shows moving forward, aiming to enhance quality following recent doubts.

All attention is now focused on ‘Deadpool & Wolverine,’ with BoxOffice Pro’s latest projection forecasting it to be the highest-grossing film of 2024, estimating a domestic opening weekend range of $175M – $200M.

The first sign of ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ expecting a strong box office was its record-breaking presale of tickets. Early box office projections now confidently predict that the film will set new records for the biggest R-rated opening, a title currently held by the first ‘Deadpool’ installment. Previous estimates from about a month ago, reported by ‘Deadline’, placed the movie in the range of $200M-$239M.

Historically, no R-rated movie has achieved a $200M opening, with the current record held by the original ‘Deadpool’ at $132.4M. Even a $150M opening for ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ would surpass the previous records of both Ryan Reynolds and Hugh Jackman, potentially making it the highest-grossing opening of the summer.

The film also boasts the highest Premium Large Format (PLF) score of the summer at 28%, highlighting significant audience interest in premium viewing experiences. Tracking numbers indicate that interest among male viewers surpasses that seen for ‘Spider-Man: No Way Home’ at a comparable stage before its release, a film that achieved the second-highest domestic opening ever at $260.1M. Projections for ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ are potentially on the rise.

We could be looking at Disney’s first billion-dollar movie in quite some time. Have something to add? Let us know in the comments below!

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